Friday 27 April 2012

MONETARY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS March 2012

Price Conditions: Headline inflation, as measured by the annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) moderated slightly to 2.1% in March. In terms of components, the lower inflation was driven mainly by slower price increases in the housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels and transport categories. Inflation in the food and non-alcoholic beverages category was unchanged at 2.9% in March. Food inflation was held down by the continued decline in the prices of meat and vegetables categories arising from an oversupply of chicken as well as higher production and the cheaper imports of vegetables. However, there were other food categories such as fish and seafood, and rice, bread and other cereals, where prices continued to rise, but at a slower pace.

Monetary Conditions: Interbank rates were stable in March. In terms of retail lending rates, the average base lending rate (BLR) of commercial banks remained unchanged at 6.53%. Retail deposit rates were also stable during the month. Broad money expanded at an annual rate of 15.0% in March. During the month, the increase in credit extended by banks to the private sector was partially offset by capital outflows.  Net financing to the private sector expanded by RM18.7 billion in March, due to an increase in outstanding banking system loans and higher net issuances of private debt securities (PDS). There was a continued expansion in banking system loans to businesses, mainly to the wholesale and retail, restaurants and hotels; transport, storage and communication and real estate sectors. Loans to households expanded during the month, driven mainly by loans for the purchase of residential property, securities and passenger cars. Loan demand increased significantly with higher loan applications from both businesses and households.

Banking System: The banking system remained well-capitalised with risk-weighted capital ratio (RWCR) and core capital ratio (CCR) at 14.7% and 13% respectively. The level of net impaired loans improved, amounting to 1.7% of net loans due to write-off exercise by a number of banks as part of the balance sheet strengthening exercise. Loan loss coverage was sustained above 90%.


Exchange Rates and International Reserves: In March, the ringgit depreciated against the currencies of Malaysia’s key trading partners. The ringgit’s depreciation followed weaker than expected data releases amongst some advanced and regional economies, which prompted the unwinding of holdings of assets in several of the emerging markets. In April, the ringgit posted a stronger performance against the currencies of Malaysia's major trading partners, with the exception of the Japanese yen and Singapore dollar. The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia stood at RM416.6 billion (equivalent to USD135.8 billion) as at 13 April 2012, sufficient to finance 9.5 months of retained imports and is 4 times the short-term external debt. 




Source: Bank Negara Malaysia

Wednesday 25 April 2012

CENTURY SOFTWARE HOLDINGS BERHAD - BONUS ISSUES

PROPOSED BONUS ISSUE OF 43,025,000 WARRANTS ("WARRANT(S)") IN CENSOF ON THE BASIS OF ONE (1) FREE WARRANT FOR EVERY EIGHT (8) EXISTING ORDINARY SHARES OF RM0.10 EACH IN CENSOF ("CENSOF SHARE(S)" OR "SHARES(S)") HELD ON AN ENTITLEMENT DATE TO BE DETERMINED LATER ("PROPOSED BONUS ISSUE OF WARRANTS")

The Board of Directors of Censof wishes to announce that the Company proposes to undertake a bonus issue of 43,025,000 Warrants in Censof on the basis of one (1) free Warrant for every eight (8) existing Censof Shares held on an entitlement date to be determined later.

For more information, kindly click on this link:
http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/EDMS/edmsweb.nsf/all/BA66168CA6343CB8482579EB0036CADF/$File/Censof%20-%20Announcement%20(25%2004%2012).pdf

Monday 23 April 2012

投资交流站



我想要投资产业信托(REITs),请问是否也能像股票一样用本益比来衡量(本益比越低越好)?

除了本益比,产业信托还能用别的指标来做为投资前的参考吗?

谢谢。

读者:Lo Kim Sang



在评估产业信托的估值时,投资者也能像股票般,以本益比来衡量和作出投资决定。

本益比主要是以价格对比盈利计算,因此,该评估方式可应用在以盈利为主的产业管理业者。

投资产业信托以租金收入为首要资金来源,因此,产业信托的每单位分红和价格走势,将受到租金的影响。

为此,投资者该考量的因素包括长短期的合约、合约租金是否每年调高、产业出租率和其他等。

本益比越低越好?

这也得视其未来的盈利而定。

在盈利前景备受看好之下,能够以更低的本益比倍数买进当然是最好。

反之,如果未来的盈利放缓或负增长,低本益比未必是好事。

除了本益比,投资者也可以每股净资产,来衡量和评估其价格是否被高估或低估。

如果是以长期投资为目标,则计算产业信托所带来的周息率,是否在个别投资者的合理水平。

Friday 20 April 2012

International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 April 2012

The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to RM416.6 billion (equivalent to USD135.8 billion) as at 13 April 2012. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 9.5 months of retained imports and is 4 times the short-term external debt.

Source: BNM

Wednesday 18 April 2012

CENTURY SOFTWARE HOLDINGS BERHAD - PROJECT AWARDS

CENTURY SOFTWARE HOLDINGS BERHAD ("the Company" or "Censof") is pleased to announce that the wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, Century Software (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd ("CSM") has on 17 April 2012  accepted two (2) Letter of Awards from Lembaga Hasil Dalam Negeri ("LHDN") dated 16 April 2012 in relation to the following contracts :-

1. Kontrak LHDNM Bil. 5/2012: Penyenggaraan Sistem Perakaunan Standard Accounting System for Government Agencies (SAGA) Century Financials bagi tahun 2012 sehingga 2014 di Lembaga Hasil Dalam Negeri Malaysia. The contract value for this project is RM3,000,000-00 ("LHDN Project 1")

2. Kontrak LHDNM Bil. 6/2012: Menaik Taraf dan Penggantian Perkakasan bagi Sistem Perakaunan LHDNM (SAGA). The contract value for this project is RM2,600,000-00 ("LHDN Project 2")

Collectively known as "Projects".

The scope of work for the LHDN Project 1 is for the maintenance services for Century - SAGA and related hardware.

The scope of work for the LHDN Project 2 is to upgrade, supply, installation and implementation of SAGA - Century and related hardware and peripherals.

The LHDN Project 1 will commence on 1 January 2012 for a period of  3 years and the LHDN Project 2 will commence from the date of the acceptance of the letter of award for a period of 2 years and 3 months.

The Projects will not have any material effect on the issued and paid-up capital, substantial shareholders' shareholdings, net assets per share and gearing of the Company and its subsidiaries ("Censof Group").

Bearing any unforseen circumstances, the Board is of the opinion that the Projects will contribute positively to the earnings per share and the future earnings of Censof Group.

Censof does not envisage any risk factor arising from the Projects. However, the Company will continously be taking appropriate measures if it encounters any risk.

None of the Directors, its substantial shareholders or person connected with the Directors and substantial shareholders of the Company have any interest in the Projects.

The Board, after considering all aspects of the Projects are of the opinion that the Projects are in the best interest of Censof Group.

Monday 16 April 2012

First Glance for Tomorrow

PLC Events:

CIMB AGM; Post-AGM - Press Conference

AmInvestment Bank - Media Briefing: Asia Pacific Equities

PLC News - Highlight:

AXREIT - 1Q revenue up 21.4% to RM33.08m

Armada - Secures USD200m contract from LUKOIL

IGB/KAssets: Listing of Mid Valley Megamall + The GardensShopping Mall as IGB REIT

一股作气:世纪软件 收入稳前景佳 (CENTURY SOFTWARE, TICKER: CENSOF)

随着网上交易的普遍性,电子付款系统的需求,预计随着全球使用率不断地攀升而提高。

在国内上市的财务管理软件方案领先业者——世纪软件(CENSOF,5195,主板科技股),旗下电子付款系统业务的经常性收入不仅稳定,且前景光明。

据悉,本地财务管理软件方案的市场规模约2亿令吉,而根据交易量数据,付款取回业务的市场规模更是达至1兆令吉。

通过电子付款系统,将能减少企业的管理任务、资料整合、节省时间与成本,预计该领域的发展潜能相当庞大。

成立于1997年的世纪软件,是国内领先的财务管理软件解决方案(FMSS)供应商,为政府部门提供服务已有超过10年之久。

至今,该集团拥有来自公共与私人领域超过80个团体客户,当中超过70个团体客户,是州、联邦和地方政府机构。

世纪软件主要涉及的两大核心业务,分别为(FMSS)和付款聚合业务;旗下两家子公司:世纪软件(马)私人有限公司(简称CSM)和T-Melmax私人有限公司(简称TMX)。

FMSS业务主要是由CMS负责,当中包括设计、开发、执行和行销财务管理软件解决方案,核心产业是“Century Financials”。

至于TMX则负责付款聚合业务,提供企业对企业(B2B)、企业对政府(B2G)及消费者对企业(C2B)的电子付款与收款解决方案。

通过TMX的电子付款服务,企业可轻易且在短时间内进行税务、社会福利保险(SOCSO)、薪金和供应商等大量付款。

在这项业务方面,该集团也为国内一些银行提供相关服务,并以盈利共享的方式为国内企业客户提供电子付款服务。

世纪软件是在“土著成功计划”(Skim Jejak Jaya Bumiputera)之下,于2011年1月在大马交易所挂牌。

值得一提的是,该集团在上市短短的4个月内,就以1送1的比例,派送红股给予股东,以回馈股东的支持,以及提高其股票在市场上的流通量。

收购PRAISINDO 60%

为扩展海外业务版图,以及提高海外营业额和盈利的贡献,集团已于去年7月中旬,以114亿5000万印尼盾(约435万令吉),收购印尼PT PRAISINDO科技60%的股权。

PRAISINDO科技是议价软件开发公司,关注开发基金管理和投资管理领域的组合管理解决方案。

在海外扩展计划中,该集团也计划进军汶莱和柬埔寨市场,主要接获许多来自这些国家的咨询,希望能够把服务引进它们的公共领域。

营业额每年增长

在财务表现方面,根据招股书和季报资料显示,世纪软件的营业额自2007年以来,皆呈增长趋势。

其营收从2007年的2462万令吉,逐年提高至2946万令吉(2008年)、3012万令吉(2009年)、3173万令吉(2010年),到2011年的4334万令吉。

至于盈利上,走势则起落不定,近3年的净利分别为927万令吉(2009年)、1280万令吉(2010年)和931万令吉(2011年)。

为此,该集团的净利赚幅,也从2009年的30.8%,在2010年提高至40.3%,之后再回跌约一半至2011年的21.5%。

以周五的闭市价格42.5仙,以及2011财年每股盈利2.71仙计算,该股的估值大约为16倍本益比。

至于目前的交易水平,则相等于世纪软件每股净资产16.45仙(截至2011年12月31日)的2.6倍。

截至2011年12月31日,该集团的现金与现金等值达885万1000令吉;而总债务仅有112万4000令吉而已。

料获更多政府合约

近期,世纪软件获得社险机构(PERKESO)颁发总值3352万4350令吉的两份合约。

达证券行分析员预计,上述合约具有潜能为该集团提供介于28%至30%的盈利赚幅。

此外,世纪软件目前也正在竞标总值介于2亿至3亿令吉的合约项目。

在稳健的重复性业务、介于1300至1600万令吉的未入账销售额,以及2500万令吉的订单,该分析员预料,世纪软件在2012财年将取得稳健的盈利表现。

增长潜能大

同时,分析员也看好世纪软件的基本面,相信该公司在行内仍有增长潜能,并且可获取更多的政府合约。

目前,有超过148地方政府部门以及56的政府机构,有望可成为该公司的潜在客户,加上网上付款软件部赚幅稳定,长期收入来源和前景都备受看好。

然而,世纪软件在两大核心业务方面,仍依赖一些顾客作出庞大的营收贡献,如内陆税收局(LHDN)、人民银行、马婆卡和兴业银行。

一旦这些客户不再继续使用其服务,将造成世纪软件流失市场份儿,以及盈利受到影响。

投资交流站



你好。
我想请问:

1. 大众控股(PDZ,6254,主板贸服股)这只股可以长期投资吗?
2. 资产有多少?
3. 现金有多少?
4. 负债有多少?

感谢主持人的回答。

谢谢!
读者:陈友毅。


大众控股在第二季度季报指出,预计本财年其余季度(即2012年1月至6月),将取得更低的营业额和净利表现,其中因素包括燃油成本出现上涨趋势。

此外,在去年12月中旬的股东大会上,大众控股认为,船运业前景充满挑战,主要面对船只供应过剩。

然而,该公司称,将专注在有利可图的服务范围,以抵抗全球船运业放缓的风险。

截至2011年12月31日,大众控股的总资产达1亿4070万1000令吉;现金与现金等值为2299万9000令吉(包括银行定期);银行总贷款800万令吉。

Sunday 15 April 2012

First Glance for Tomorrow

PLC event

Affin Holdings - AGM; post-AGM - Press Conference/Media Briefing

Saturday 14 April 2012

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Malaysia - Analysis based on 13 April 2012 Closing Price


REITs
Last Price
Latest FY EPS
PE
DIV 11
DIV 10
DIV 09
DIV 08
DIV 07
Remark
AHP
1.05
10.10
10.39
7.4
7.2
7.0
6.5
6.0
H-YRLY
ALAQAR
1.20
13.31
9.02
7.7
7.7
8.1
8.1
NA
H-YRLY
AMFIRST*
1.21
10.57
11.44
9.8
9.8
8.7
7.3
2.0
H-YRLY
ARREIT
0.93
12.85
7.24
7.2
7.3
7.2
7.0
NA
QTERLY
ATRIUM
1.16
14.04
8.26
8.5
8.6
7.0
8.4
6.4
QTERLY
AXREIT
2.75
21.26
15.40
17.2
16.0
15.8
15.3
NA
QTERLY
BSDREIT
1.82
48.78
3.73
12.0
10.0
9.3
11.0
10.9
H-YRLY
CMMT
1.39
12.00
13.63
7.87
3.4
NA
NA
NA

HEKTAR
1.40
27.08
5.17
7.5
10.6
10.3
10.3
10.7
QTERLY
PAVREIT
1.17
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

QCAPITA
1.14
8.80
12.96
8.3
8.0
7.7
7.5
6.5
H-YRLY
STAREIT**
0.96
4.94
19.43
6.5
6.5
6.9
6.9
6.7
H-YRLY
SUNREIT***
1.30
20.64
6.33
6.58
NA
NA
NA
NA

TWRREIT
1.45
11.01
13.17
10.9
10.0
10.0
9.4
8.5
H-YRLY
UOAREIT
1.40
10.53
14.14
9.8
10.0
11.5
10.0
NA
H-YRLY


*AMFIRST – FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH (PE is calculated based on Financial Year Ended 31 March 2011)
** STAREIT – FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE (PE is calculated based on Financial Year Ended 30 June 2011)
*** SUNREIT – FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE (PE is calculated based on Financial Year Ended 30 June 2011)