Tuesday 31 July 2012

MONETARY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS June 2012


Price Conditions: Headline inflation, as measured by the annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) moderated to 1.6% in June, due to lower inflation in the transport and food and non-alcoholic beverages categories. Inflation in the transport category declined as the price of RON97 petrol was revised downward in June 2012. The food and non-alcoholic beverages category also registered a lower inflation rate of 2.9% during the month following smaller increase in prices in the food away from home sub-category.

Monetary Conditions: Interbank rates were stable in June. In terms of retail lending rates, the average base lending rate (BLR) of commercial banks remained unchanged at 6.53% as at end of the month. Retail deposit rates were also relatively stable during the period. The annual growth in broad money (M3) moderated to 12.8% in June. On a monthly basis, M3 increased, reflecting mainly higher credit extended to the private sector. The expansion in M3, however, was partially mitigated by net foreign outflows and Government fundraising activities during the month. Net financing to the private sector expanded by RM26.5 billion in June, due to higher net issuances of private debt securities (PDS) and an increase in outstanding banking system loans. There was continued expansion in banking system loans to businesses, mainly to the finance, insurance and business services; manufacturing; agriculture and wholesale and retail, restaurants and hotels sectors. Loans to households also expanded during the month, driven mainly by loans for the purchase of securities, residential property and passenger cars. Loan demand remained high with sustained loan applications from both businesses and households.

Banking System: The banking system remained well-capitalised with risk-weighted capital ratio (RWCR) and core capital ratio (CCR) at 14.7% and 12.9% respectively. The level of net impaired loans improved, amounting to 1.5% of net loans due to recovery and write-off exercise by some banks as part of the balance sheet strengthening exercise.  Loan loss coverage remained high at 98.9%.


Exchange Rates and International Reserves: In June, the ringgit depreciated against most of the currencies of Malaysia’s major trading partners. The ringgit ended the month slightly weaker against the US dollar as international investors’ unwound holdings of emerging market assets following concerns over the outlook for global economic growth and renewed uncertainties over the European sovereign debt crisis. The ringgit also depreciated against the euro, Singapore dollar and Chinese renminbi, while recording a modest appreciation against the Japanese yen. In July, the ringgit along with most other currencies appreciated against the US dollar as expectations for monetary easing in the advanced economies renewed investor interest for emerging market assets. The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia stood at RM429.4 billion (equivalent to USD134.4 billion) as at 13 July 2012, sufficient to finance 9.4 months of retained imports and are 4.3 times the short-term external debt. 




Source: Bank Negara Malaysia

Friday 27 July 2012

IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD TO JOIN FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA KLCI


Bursa Malaysia has announced that IHH Healthcare Berhad will replace MMC Corporation Berhad in the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI following the successful initial public offering (IPO) on Bursa Malaysia’s Main Market on 25 July 2012.

IHH Healthcare Berhad will be included as a constituent of the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI after its public listing rather than at the regular December semi-annual review, as its market capitalisation is significantly large. The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Index Series Ground Rules allows for the inclusion of sufficiently large stocks after an IPO to ensure that the index accurately reflects the market it measures.

EFFECTIVE DATE: 1 AUGUST 2012

FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI
IHH Healthcare Berhad (5225, IHH) will be added to the index with a total share issue of 8,057,080,242 and an investability weighting of 30%.
MMC Corporation Berhad (2194, MMCCORP) will be deleted from the index.

FTSE Bursa Malaysia Mid 70 Index
MMC Corporation Berhad (2194, MMCCORP) will be added to the index with a total share issue of 3,045,058,460 and an investability weighting of 40%.
Lion Industries Berhad (4235,LIONIND) will be deleted from the index.

FTSE Bursa Malaysia Small Cap Index
Lion Industries Berhad (4235,LIONIND) will be added to the index with a total share issue of 712,920,465 and an investability weighting of 75%.

FTSE Bursa Malaysia Emas Index
IHH Healthcare will be added to the FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index with a shares in issue and an investability weighting as detailed above.

Thursday 26 July 2012

一股作气:贵金属期货催化马交所 (Bursa)


零售债券和东协交易连接的推介,将推动大马交易所(Bursa,1818,主板金融股)未来营收增长。
同时,随着政府计划设立贵重金属商品交易所,假若该交易平台一并纳入在大马交易所的业务内,将是该股的重大催化剂。
为提高营收表现,大马交易所已通过旗下大马衍生产品交易所,推出隆综指期货期权交易(OKLI)和原棕油期货期权交易(FCPO)。
投资者可透过期货期权,为期货合约护盘,为投资者提供一种风险管理工具。
未来的增长动力,将是大马交易所计划推出供散户投资者参与的债券市场,以及东协交易连接的启动。
零售债券和东协交易连接有望在今年内落实,届时,将能提高大马交易所的交投量。
依据现有的情况,国内的债券交易最低单位为500万令吉,因此,大部分的个人投资者只能通过信托基金参与。
在更低的参与成本,加上一般上的债券投资回酬都比定期存款的利息来得更高,且风险比股票投资低,有助于激励投资者直接参与。
至于东协交易连接方面,可让成员国的投资者通过电子系统进行跨境交易,进而可让东协投资者更轻易地直接参与大马股市。
节省成本
InsiderAsia研究指出,这项合作不仅将能迈向基建方面的共享,在长期方面,也能让各方节省成本。
尽管东协交易连接预计在短期的贡献不大,但这个平台可提高上市公司在区域内的知名度,而长远方面可吸引更多的外国散户参与。
另外,为打造大马为金融中心,政府计划设立贵重金属商品交易所,并让投资者拥有更多的投资选择。
如果有关贵重金属商品交易所纳入在大马交易所内,更是该股的重大催化剂,股价将再度重估。
鉴于原棕油期货交易在国际市场上已有一定的知名度,要推行贵重金属如黄金、银和铜等商品期货并不难,且国内投资者对黄金也有相当的需求。
股息基础75% 实派90%
从2009年至2011年,大马交易所的营业额为2亿9762万5000令吉、3亿3125万1000令吉和3亿8132万1000令吉。
在同期的净利表现上,2009年达1亿7758万8000令吉,隔年则下滑至1亿1304万1000令吉,而2011年为1亿4616万令吉。
在今年上半年,该集团的营业额按年稍微滑落0.3%至2亿1647万6000令吉,而净利则涨3.3%至7871万5000令吉。
根据大马交易所的股息政策,该集团将派发75%的净利作为股息,以回馈股东的支持。
尽管如此,依据该集团在过去几年的派息记录,不仅超过所设下的75%净利,甚至超过90%水平。
在2009年至2011年,该集团分别派发每股19.1仙(净股息为17.83仙)(93%)、20仙(94%)和26仙(95%)股息。
至于在近期公布的业绩,大马交易所也宣布派发每股13.5仙股息,相等于91%净利派发水平。
年度化计算,该集团在2011年的每股股息为27仙,以周五闭市价格6.71令吉,其周息率为4%。
以过去4个季度的净利(合计为1亿4867万1000令吉)计算,该股的估值大约为24倍本益比。
在现金流方面,在2012年首6个月,营运活动流进8304万3000令吉、投资活动流进5626万3000令吉,而融资活动则流出7278万4000令吉。
手握4.8亿现金
值得一提的是,该集团融资活动的资金流出,都是用来派发股息,并无其他融资成本。
为此,集团现金与现金等值,已从截至去年12月31日的1亿5534万3000令吉,提高至2亿2186万1000令吉。
鉴于马交所无任何贷款,加上该集团的其他存款,手上握有的现金达4亿8200万7000令吉,或相等于每股90.6仙。
9公司排队上市
根据大马证券监督委员会网站招股说明书暴露资料显示,已有9家公司计划挂牌上市。
同时,其他正在筹备上市的公司也包括U-Mobile、怡保花园产业投资信托(IGB REIT),以及规划重新上市的Astro和Malakoff。
加上在本月上市的OCK集团、综合保健控股(IHH)和Gabungan AQRS,下半年挂牌上市的公司,有望超越2011下半年的11家公司(以上市日期为准)。
该股投资风险包括缺乏购兴和交投量持续呈下滑趋势、优质公司除牌、挂牌上市公司的数量和外资流出等负面因素。

Sunday 22 July 2012

Performance Review (Based on Closing Price at 20 July 2012)

Performance Review (Based on Closing Price at 20 July 2012)
*Data excluding dividend/rights issue/bonus issue adjustment (if any)

So, how much have you been earned/profit from the shares investment?


Counter
Publishing Date & Price Range
Closing Price at 20 July 12
Performance
IGB/1597
9 July 2012/RM2.71 – RM2.72
RM2.77
+1.8% - 2.2%
L&G/3174
25 June 2012/RM0.395 – RM 0.40
RM0.425
+6.3% - 7.6%
UEMLAND/5148
18 June 2012/RM1.97 – RM2.04
RM2.09
+2.5% - 6.1%
MSPORTS/5150
11 June 2012/RM0.395 – RM0.40
RM0.405
+1.3% - 2.5%
KLCCP/5089
28 May 2012/RM3.37 – RM3.50
RM4.90
+40% - 45.4%
MPHB/3859
14 May 2012/RM2.88 – RM2.92
RM3.67
+25.7% - 27.4%
AFFIN/5185
30 April 2012/RM3.05 – RM3.08
RM3.70
+20.1% - 21.3%
CENSOF/5195
16 April 2012/RM0.415 – RM0.43
RM0.455
+5.8% - 9.6%
TM/4863
2 April 2012/RM5.30 – RM5.36
RM6.23
+16.2% - 17.5%
TURBO/5167
19 March 2012/RM0.715 – RM0.75
RM0.70
-2.1% - 6.7%
MEDIAC/5090
5 March 2012/RM1.20 – RM1.21
RM1.49
+23.1% - 24.2%
OldTown/5201
20 Feb 2012/RM1.27 – RM1.32
RM1.82
+37.9% - 43.3%
Gamuda/5398
6 Feb 2012/RM3.88 – RM3.94*
Market Off: 6 & 7 Feb 2012
*Price range date is 8 Feb 2012
RM3.60
-7.2% - 8.6%
ECS/5162
23 Jan 2012/RM1.30 –RM1.33*
Market Off: 23 & 24 Jan 2012
*Price range date is 25 Feb 2012
RM1.59
+19.5% - 22.3%
BJTOTO/1562
9 Jan 2012/RM4.31 – RM4.36
RM4.25
-1.4% - 2.5%
UOADev/5200
12 Dec 2011/RM1.32 – RM1.36
RM1.57
+15.4% - 18.9%
MEDIA/4502
28 Nov 2011/RM2.52 – RM2.56*
Market Off: 28 Nov 2011
*Price range date is 29 Nov 2011
RM2.42
-4% - 5.5%
GENM/4502
14 Nov 2011/RM3.83 – RM3.88
RM3.58
-6.5% - 7.7%
Salcon/8567
31 Oct 2011/RM0.50 – RM0.535
RM0.49
-2% - 8.4%
MYEG/0138
17 Oct 2011/RM0.63 – RM0.655
RM0.645
-1.5% - +2.4%


Friday 20 July 2012

International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 July 2012


The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to RM429.4 billion (equivalent to USD134.4 billion) as at 13 July 2012. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 9.4 months of retained imports and is 4.3 times the short-term external debt.




Source: Bank Negara Malaysia

Thursday 12 July 2012

MARKET STRATEGY FOR 2H12 by MIBB


TOP PICKS:
Public Bank, Hong Leong Bank, Telekom Malaysa, YTL Power, Bumi Armada, Sapura-Kencana, Multi-Purpose Holdings, KLCC Property, Top Glove.

Sector Outlook
Sector
Rating
Sub Sector
Stock Picks
Automotive
Overweight

UMW
Banking
Neutral

Hong Leong Bank & Public Bank
Building Materials
Overweight

Ann Joo Resources & Kinsteel
Construction/Infra
Overweight

Gamuda, WCT, Hock Seng Lee & Eversendai
Consumer
Neutral
Brewery
Carlsberg
Tobacco

Retail
Padini & AEON
F&B

Basic Foods
Bernas & QL
NFOs
MPHB
Casinos

Gloves
Overweight

Top Glove
Media
Neutral


Oil & Gas
Overweight

Bumi Armada, Perisai & Yinson
Petrochem
Overweight

PetChem
Plantation
Neutral

Sarawak Oil Palms
Power
Overweight

YTL Power & Tenaga
Property
Neutral
Developers
KLCC Property
REITs
Axis REIT
Telco
Overweight

TM & Maxis
Transport
Neutral
Aviation
MAHB
Shipping